Peter Jagers

Professor

Mathematical Statistics

Chalmers University of Technology and University of Gothenburg
SE-412 96 Gothenburg
SWEDEN
Phone: +46 31 772 35 20 (office) +46 31 18 43 37 (home)
Fax: +46 31 772 35 08 (office) Email: jagers@chalmers.se

First Vice President of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.

Fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Member of the International Statistical Institute, Dr. h.c. of the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences.

Editor-in-Chief of Stochastic Processes and their Applications 1989-1993. Coordinating Editor of the Advances in Applied Probability and Journal of Applied Probability, Member of the Editorial Board of the Springer Series in Probability and its Applications. Associate Editor of Mathematical Population Studies, Serdica, and Biology Direct.

President of Bernoulli Society 2005 - 2007.

Member of the Scientific Council of Statistics Sweden 1980 - 2005. Chairman of the Fraunhofer-Chalmers Research Centre for Industrial Mathematics. Member of the Fraunhofer Gesellschaft. Vice-Chair of the Curatorium of Fraunhofer ITWM.

President of the Chalmers Faculty Senate 1993-2002, Chair Swedish National Centre for Mathematics Education (NCM) 2001-2008, Board Member European Society Math. and Theoret. Biology 2008- 2011, Chair Folkuniversitetet/Kursverksamheten vid Göteborgs Universitet.

Research interests

Stochastic processes - in particular branching processes, population dynamics, probability theory, and statistics. Probability in biology. Right now: Extinction, stochastic models of evolution.

Selected publications

Books:

Branching Processes with Biological Applications. John Wiley and Sons: London (1975).
Classical and Modern Branching Processes. With Krishna Athreya (eds). Springer: New York (1997).
Branching Processes: Variation, Growth and Extinction of Populations. With Patsy Haccou and Vladimir A. Vatutin. Cambridge University Press (2005).

Some papers during three decades:

Some Notes on the History of Branching Processes, from my Perspective. Lecture at the Oberwolfach Symposium on "Random Trees", 18-24 January, 2009.
A plea for stochastic population dynamics. J. Math. Biol. to appear (2009).
Viability of small populations experiencing recurring catastrophes. (With Karin C. Harding) Math. Pop. Studies to appear (2009).
The mixing advantage is less than 2 (With Kais Hamza, Aidan Sudbury, and Daniel Tokarev) Extremes 12, 19-31 (2009)
General branching processes in discrete time as random trees. (With Serik Sagitov) Bernoulli 14:4, 949-962 (2008).
General branching processes conditioned on extinction are still branching processes (With Andreas N. Lageras) Elect. Comm. Probab. 13:51 (2008).
On the path to extinction. (With F. C. Klebaner and S. Sagitov) Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. 104, 6107-6111 (2007).
Markovian paths to extinction. (With F. C. Klebaner and S. Sagitov) Adv . Appl. Probab. 39, 569-587 (2007).
The coalescent effective size of age-structured populations. (With S. Sagitov) Ann. Appl. Probab. 15, 1778-1797 (2005).
Branching processes in near-critical random encironments. (With F. C. Klebaner) In: J. Gani and E. Seneta (eds.) Stochastic Methods and their Applications. J. Appl. Prob. Special Volume 41A, 17-24 (2004).
Convergence to the coalescent in populations of substantially varying size. (With S. Sagitov). J. Appl. Probab. 41, 368-378 (2004).
Random variation and concentration effects in PCR. (With F. C. Klebaner) J. Theoret. Biol. 224, 299-304 (2003)
Branching processes with deteriorating random environments. (With Lu Zhunwei). J. Appl. Probab. 39, 395-401 (2002)
The growth of general population-size-dependent branching processes year by year. (With S. Sagitov). J. Appl. Probab. 37 , 1-14 (2000).
The deterministic evolution of general branching populations. In: M. de Gunst, C. Klaassen, and A. van der Vaart (eds.), State of the Art in Statistics and Probability Theory. Festschrift for Willem R. van Zwet . IMS Lecture Notes (2000)
Population-size-dependent and age-dependent branching processes. (With F. Klebaner). Stoch. Proc. Appl. 87 , 235-254 (2000).
Branching processes with dependence but homogeneous growth. Ann. Appl. Prob. 9, 1160-1174 (1999).
Coupling and population dependence in branching processes. Ann. Appl. Prob. 7, 281 - 298 (1997).
Towards dependencies in general branching processes. Classical and Modern Branching Processes, 127 - 139 (1997).
Branching processes as population dynamics. Bernoulli 1, 191 - 200 (1995) and a correction in Bernoulli 2, 108 (1996).
The asymptotic composition of supercritical multi-type branching populations. (With O. Nerman) Springer Lecture Notes in Mathematics, 1626, 40 - 54 (1996).
General branching processes in varying environment. (With H. Cohn) Ann. Appl. Prob. 4, 184 - 193 (1994).
Stabilities and instabilities in population dynamics. J. Appl. Prob. 29, 770 - 780 (1992).
When did Joe's great...grandfather live? Or: On the time-scale of evolutio n. (With O. Nerman and Z. Taib) IMS Lecture Notes-Monograph Series 18 (1992).
The growth and stabilization of of populations. With discussion. Statistical Science 6, 269-283 (1991).
General branching processes as Markov fields. Stoch. Proc. Appl. 32, 183 - 212 (1989).
Post-stratification against bias in sampling. Int. Statist. Rev. 54,, 159 - 167 (1986).

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